In-city Contributions

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By Oliver Luby & Marc Salomon

Section 3 – Candidates’ & Ballot Measure Committees’ Contributions Received from within San Francisco

Our last article regarding mid-year candidate financing analyzed contributions received from contributors outside San Francisco.  The analysis presented below is an update[i] of the amounts received from contributors[ii] outside San Francisco[iii], covering both (1) the First Pre-election reporting period for candidates[iv] and (2) 2011 reporting by Ballot Measure Committees (BMCs).

The candidate with the least percentage of support within San Francisco is DA newcomer Trinh, at mere 6%.  The DA candidate with the highest percentage of support with San Francisco was Fazio, at 78%.  Mayoral candidate Hall had the highest Pre-election San Francisco support percentage of all candidates, at 86% (Hall was at 82% for his fundraising prior to 7/1/11).  Other mayoral candidates with high San Francisco support were Avalos, at 82% (Avalos was at 90% for the fundraising prior to 7/1/11), and Baum, at 85%.  Mayoral candidates Chiu, Rees, and Yee, DA candidate Onek, and Sheriff candidate Miyamoto remained at less than 50% support.

Perhaps the most interesting results in the candidate contests were (1) significant changes in support since the mid-year finance reporting and (2) the fundraising by new candidates raising substantial sums.

In the DA’s race, candidates Bock and Gascon received over 50% of their Pre-election contributions from San Francisco sources; given that their fundraising prior to 7/1/11 was under 50% in San Francisco support, the change may signal a slight positive shift in their popularity with local donors.

In the Sheriff’s race, candidate Mirkarimi’s Pre-election San Francisco support was just 40%, whereas his fundraising prior to 7/1/11 had been at 62%.

Similarly, Mayoral candidates Herrera and Alioto-Pier saw their San Francisco support drop during the Pre-election period, from 62% and 72%, respectively, (prior to 7/1/11) to 50% each.  Such drops may signal exhaustion of local donor options.

As for new candidates, mayoral candidate Adachi (64%) and Sheriff candidate Cunnie (62%) demonstrated sizable majorities of local donor support.  The candidate raising the most contributions during the Pre-election period, current Mayor Lee, received scarcely more than half (53%) from sources within San Francisco.

In the ballot measure contests, nearly every committee demonstrated very significant local support, at 87% or higher.

Four committees, including Scott Weiner’s Yes on E, Friends of Ethics (No on E & F), Yes on G, and Students First Yes on H, received 100% of their monetary contributions from local sources.

The lone ballot measure committee receiving less than half of its contributions from San Francisco donors was Protect Our Benefits, No on C (35%).

I. District Attorney candidates – First Pre-election Period – % of contributions from donors located in SF

 

(chart makes distinction between candidates receiving less than 50% of their contributions from San Francisco (yellow) and those receiving over 50% of their contributions from within San Francisco (blue)

II. Mayor candidates – First Pre-election Period – % of contributions from donors located in SF

(chart makes distinction between candidates receiving less than 50% of their contributions from San Francisco (yellow) and those receiving over 50% of their contributions from within San Francisco (blue)

 

 

III. Sheriff candidates – First Pre-election Period – % of contributions from donors located in SF

(chart makes distinction between candidates receiving less than 50% of their contributions from San Francisco (yellow) and those receiving over 50% of their contributions from within San Francisco (blue)

 

IV. Ballot measure committees – % of contributions from donors located in SF

(chart makes distinction between candidates receiving less than 50% of their contributions from San Francisco (yellow) and those receiving over 50% of their contributions from within San Francisco (blue)

 

 

 



[i] Note that the outside-San Francisco donor analysis presented here differs from the analysis presented in the last article.  Our August 24 article’s analysis was based the number of contributors.  For BMCs, the number of contributors is not particularly meaningful because BMCs are not subject to contribution limits; one contributor may give $100,000 while another gives only $100.  As a result, the analysis here is based on the total amount of the contributions, not the number of the contributors.

[ii] This analysis reviewed only monetary contributions.  Non-monetary (in-kind) contributions and loans were not included.

[iii] A word of caution about this data: First, non-individual contributors may have multiple addresses (both in and outside San Francisco), and yet be disclosed with only one of those addresses.  Second, individual contributors who do not actually reside in San Francisco may still report a San Francisco contributor address if it is their private place of business.  While many individual contributors report their residential address, reporting of one’s business address is also common for those who are not employed by government.  Thus, some contributors reporting San Francisco addresses may only work in San Francisco and actually reside elsewhere.  Likewise, some contributors reporting addresses outside San Francisco may work outside San Francisco while residing in San Francisco.

[iv] Caveat: Since mayoral candidate Terry Baum’s contributions were not reviewed in our prior articles (because she had raised under $15,000 as of 6/30/11), we merged her 1/1/11-6/30/11 data with her data from the First Pre-election Period for purposes of conducting the analyses in Sections 3, 4, and 5 in this article.